Spillovers from Science

A new working paper introduces Science Rank, an indicator of the commercial value of patents that build on academic research.

A new working paper – Spillovers from Science – with Anna Valero, Arjun Shah and Dennis Verhoeven introduces Science Rank: a new indicator that uses the combined patent and paper citation network to assign a share of the private value of patented inventions to the scientific papers they build upon.

We can think of this as an estimate of the value of knowledge spillovers from academic research to commercial patents.

We document a number of stylised facts:

1. The US generates the largest amount of spillovers

The US produces the largest amount of spillovers overall and the second highest on average – after Switzerland.

Total and per-capita spillovers from science by country

2. Retention rates differ sharply across countries

Total spillovers from science vary across countries, and so does the share that is retained within the borders of a country: the retention rate is nearly 70% in the US whereas it is below 20% in most other countries. An outlier is South Korea with a retention rate of 30%.

Spillover retention rates by country

3. Developing-country research is greener

While developing countries typically generate lower amounts of spillovers overall, a larger share of their spillovers support clean tech innovation.

Clean tech share of spillovers by country

4. Local universities matter for local innovators

Many universities in developing countries, while generating lower spillovers on a global level, tend to generate relatively high spillovers for innovations by developing-country innovators.

University spillovers to developing-country innovators

Implications

While we need further evidence to draw strong causal conclusions, these results are consistent with the idea that further development of research universities in developing countries could help generate more innovation – and thus economic growth and employment – for firms in developing countries.

Read the full paper: Spillovers from Science (CEP Discussion Paper).

Ralf Martin
Ralf Martin
Professor of Economics

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